ZeroCap

0xecdbaa...ceccd0

Smart Score

Win Rate

20.6%

Total P&L

-$7.6K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.48

Sortino Ratio

-1.93

Max Drawdown

1415.5%

ROI

-41.8%

Profit Factor

0.25

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	2.4¢	17,837.742	Jan 7
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	3.6¢	11,264.27	Jan 7
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	BUY	48.8¢	820.122	Dec 5
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?	BUY	2.8¢	13,284.149	Dec 5
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	19.0¢	1,470.58	Dec 4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	SELL	69.0¢	713.32	Dec 4
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	BUY	0.8¢	134,310	Dec 4
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	BUY	0.9¢	31,416.667	Dec 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	BUY	13.0¢	984.615	Nov 24
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?	SELL	1.0¢	6,213.43	Nov 24
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?	SELL	2.1¢	3,235.71	Nov 24
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?	BUY	29.0¢	2,817.19	Nov 23
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	BUY	1.2¢	8,268.269	Nov 22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?	BUY	5.6¢	5,326.082	Nov 22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?	BUY	7.5¢	6,666.667	Nov 22
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	10.5¢	2,381.724	Nov 22
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	2.4¢	10,532.757	Nov 22
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	0.3¢	22,949.532	Nov 22
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?	SELL	21.0¢	563.88	Nov 22
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	SELL	8.4¢	1,042.87	Nov 22

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency11.8%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity58 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$9,6961d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue