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XSF342

0x8463ac...7d6af9
Smart Score
13
Win Rate
66.4%
Total P&L
+$21
Trade Count
512
Sharpe Ratio
-0.76
Sortino Ratio
-1.13
Max Drawdown
3931.6%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
1.97
Kelly Fraction
0.326
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢10.101Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.8¢7.22Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢19.25Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢8.2Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.3¢10.3Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.4¢10.267Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.6¢10.77Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.9¢10.764Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢9.81Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢7.2Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢7.15Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢9.804Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.5¢6.03Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.3¢7.049Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.4¢8.49Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.6¢8.457Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.6¢10.34Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY96.8¢10.331Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL95.5¢8.34Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY95.9¢8.342Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%11%50–70%10%70–80%8%80–90%69%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.72
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.8%
Win Consistency41.4%
Profit Factor0.34
Drawdown Resilience0.27
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.27
Weekly Sharpe est.0.21
Trading Activity512 trades · 39 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$50911d profit28d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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