XGE5Y34

0xfe966e...16060a

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.6%

Total P&L

+$18

Trade Count

436

Sharpe Ratio

0.23

Sortino Ratio

2.28

Max Drawdown

10000.0%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

1.62

Kelly Fraction

0.239

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.8¢	5.18	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.9¢	5.16	Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	8.17	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	18.18	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	18.182	Mar 5
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.8¢	8.18	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	5.3	Mar 4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.6¢	7.3	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	17.3	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	10.32	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	91.0¢	10.97	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	91.1¢	10.977	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	62.0¢	12.9	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.5¢	5.025	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	12.903	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	15.68	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	15.686	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	9.84	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	9.825	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.7¢	10.03	Mar 4

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.8%

Win Consistency39.7%

Profit Factor0.54

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity436 trades · 39 active days

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