Accrue
Log inGet Access

weatherlover21

0x963115...55a38c
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
46.2%
Total P&L
+$17
Trade Count
29
Sharpe Ratio
1.26
Sortino Ratio
2.46
Max Drawdown
129.1%
ROI
8.9%
Profit Factor
4.12
Kelly Fraction
0.349
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL15.2¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL15.5¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?SELL1.9¢81.76Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL16.2¢6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL16.2¢6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL16.2¢20Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?SELL16.4¢27.52Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?SELL72.2¢79Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY50.0¢79Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY1.9¢81.765Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?BUY10.7¢81.468Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 6?BUY11.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 6?BUY30.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?BUY49.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?BUY22.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?BUY39.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?BUY27.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on March 6?SELL10.0¢30Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?SELL48.0¢30Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 80°F or higher on March 6?BUY49.0¢30Mar 4

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%7%< 10%33%10–20%20%20–30%27%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.0%
Win Consistency38.5%
Profit Factor0.83
Drawdown Resilience0.67
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67
Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics