0x82d961...1637bc

Smart Score

Win Rate

43.2%

Total P&L

+$41

Trade Count

125

Sharpe Ratio

5.60

Sortino Ratio

76.68

Max Drawdown

93.5%

ROI

52.7%

Profit Factor

2.33

Kelly Fraction

0.246

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

044.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	52.0¢	0.21	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	72.0¢	3.22	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	65.6¢	9.41	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	6.1¢	1.7	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	24.0¢	0.4	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	26.0¢	3.846	Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	62.0¢	1.613	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	BUY	70.0¢	1.429	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	BUY	53.0¢	1.887	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	BUY	52.9¢	1.89	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	SELL	50.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	SELL	50.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	SELL	52.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	SELL	51.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	SELL	51.0¢	0.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	SELL	51.0¢	0.06	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	SELL	50.0¢	0.03	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	SELL	50.0¢	0.03	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	SELL	50.0¢	0.01	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing44.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.43

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)40.1%

Win Consistency47.5%

Profit Factor1.15

Drawdown Resilience0.93

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.93

Weekly Sharpe est.0.71

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