SF43RT34

0x0131f1...9ff0f7

#15333 overall · top 72.80%

Smart Score

Win Rate

59.5%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

432

Sharpe Ratio

-1.96

Sortino Ratio

-1.72

Max Drawdown

201862.9%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.22

Kelly Fraction

0.107

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	96.6¢	9.317	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.7¢	6.336	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.8¢	9.31	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.9¢	9.288	Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.1¢	9.67	Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.3¢	9.646	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.9¢	6.26	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	7.22	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.3¢	9.26	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	97.0¢	7.216	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	9.24	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	9.29	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.8¢	9.298	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	8.2	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	8.197	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	11.17	Mar 4
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	BUY	80.7¢	11.152	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	7.071	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.4¢	6.37	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	8.081	Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.9%

Win Consistency43.1%

Profit Factor0.11

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity432 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$4178d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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