Secretplayer

0xf9860a...2dd964

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.4%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

122

Sharpe Ratio

0.16

Sortino Ratio

0.26

Max Drawdown

920.9%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

4.01

Kelly Fraction

0.663

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	BUY	94.5¢	6.889	Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	41.9¢	10.79	Feb 27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	43.8¢	10.799	Feb 20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	71.9¢	10.72	Feb 18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	76.0¢	10.724	Feb 11
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	14.68	Feb 3
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	67.4¢	14.688	Jan 27
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	98.2¢	5.19	Jan 23
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	95.5¢	5.194	Jan 16
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	SELL	94.9¢	3.24	Jan 13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	96.9¢	3.24	Jan 6
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	SELL	98.2¢	2.26	Dec 26
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	96.4¢	2.261	Dec 19
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?	BUY	98.3¢	9.268	Dec 12
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	94.9¢	7.16	Dec 8
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	89.6¢	7.165	Dec 1
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	SELL	94.9¢	9.33	Nov 24
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	BUY	96.4¢	9.336	Nov 17
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	SELL	97.6¢	5.09	Nov 12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?	BUY	97.3¢	5.098	Nov 5

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.87

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.9%

Win Consistency60.4%

Profit Factor0.88

Drawdown Resilience0.71

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71

Weekly Sharpe est.0.54

Trading Activity54 trades · 54 active days

P&L Calendar

$3524d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics