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roettgers

0x297438...44e9d8
Smart Score
12
Win Rate
23.5%
Total P&L
-$122
Trade Count
32
Sharpe Ratio
2.92
Sortino Ratio
41.82
Max Drawdown
357.5%
ROI
-40.0%
Profit Factor
0.11
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
012.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?BUY11.7¢30Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or below on March 6?BUY11.7¢25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 5?BUY25.0¢80Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY14.1¢21.333Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 5?BUY16.8¢40.265Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 6?SELL33.0¢20.53Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 6?BUY34.8¢20.536Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?SELL2.0¢76.92Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 4?BUY49.7¢20.106Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?SELL28.4¢19.02Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?BUY37.1¢24.236Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?BUY13.0¢76.923Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 4?BUY4.5¢220.289Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 3?BUY38.7¢25.83Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 3?SELL25.0¢34.89Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 3?BUY43.0¢34.891Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 3?SELL21.4¢50Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 3?SELL4.2¢209.18Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 3?BUY28.9¢50Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on March 3?BUY3.8¢209.182Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%23%10–20%9%20–30%50%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing12.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.67
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)11.0%
Win Consistency35.3%
Profit Factor0.31
Drawdown Resilience0.25
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.25
Weekly Sharpe est.0.19
Trading Activity32 trades · 6 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1790d profit6d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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