ntrntww

0x412723...6cd187

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.2%

Total P&L

+$2.6K

Trade Count

428

Sharpe Ratio

1.17

Sortino Ratio

7.09

Max Drawdown

351.5%

ROI

24.3%

Profit Factor

3.21

Kelly Fraction

0.456

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

043.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	98.4¢	60	Mar 4
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.7¢	60	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	3.8¢	90	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	90	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.0¢	60	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.1¢	60	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.9¢	30	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.2¢	30	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	5.4¢	70	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	94.7¢	70	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	70	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	3.8¢	70	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	SELL	2.0¢	50	Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?	BUY	2.2¢	50	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	1.1¢	90	Mar 4
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	1.2¢	90	Mar 4
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.7¢	80	Mar 4
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	1.4¢	80	Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	3.5¢	70	Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.6¢	70	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing43.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.8%

Win Consistency50.7%

Profit Factor1.14

Drawdown Resilience0.92

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.92

Weekly Sharpe est.0.70

Trading Activity428 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,8730d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue