Nikoco

0x85c9fd...96fcc9

Smart Score

Win Rate

49.8%

Total P&L

-$899

Trade Count

518

Sharpe Ratio

-0.62

Sortino Ratio

-0.95

Max Drawdown

1426.8%

ROI

-8.0%

Profit Factor

0.49

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	67.0¢	7.463	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	45.0¢	11.111	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	54.0¢	18.519	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	26.667	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	84.0¢	11.905	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 7, 2026?	BUY	97.0¢	10.309	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 8, 2026?	BUY	96.6¢	10.357	Mar 4
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	BUY	98.3¢	10.177	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	SELL	30.0¢	27.53	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?	SELL	94.0¢	22.47	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	SELL	96.1¢	22.93	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	SELL	30.0¢	27.52	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	SELL	38.0¢	10.86	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	SELL	35.0¢	26.32	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	98.1¢	11.86	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	81.0¢	40.74	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	44.12	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?	SELL	99.5¢	22.96	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?	SELL	92.0¢	28.67	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	64.0¢	48.16	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency42.0%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity518 trades · 109 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,67633d profit75d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue