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Marnianaik

0xecec27...b275d8
Smart Score
3
Win Rate
56.5%
Total P&L
+$11
Trade Count
30
Sharpe Ratio
-0.50
Sortino Ratio
-0.21
Max Drawdown
133.3%
ROI
8.5%
Profit Factor
1.32
Kelly Fraction
0.136
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.0¢2.21Mar 5
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.1¢2.22Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETBUY50.0¢7Jan 26
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7¢2,549Jan 17
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.6¢2,549Jan 15
XRP Up or Down - November 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETBUY50.0¢8Nov 27
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY50.0¢9Nov 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY50.0¢8Nov 27
Solana Up or Down - November 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY50.0¢9Nov 24
Ethereum Up or Down - November 24, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY50.0¢7Nov 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY50.0¢7Nov 24
XRP Up or Down - November 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY50.0¢7Nov 18
Ethereum Up or Down - November 18, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY50.0¢8Nov 18
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETBUY50.0¢8Nov 18
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY50.0¢4Nov 11
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY50.0¢5Nov 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY50.0¢8Nov 11
Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETBUY50.0¢9Nov 5
Solana Up or Down - November 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETBUY50.0¢5Nov 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSELL49.0¢5Nov 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%8%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%88%50–70%70–80%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.0%
Win Consistency0.0%
Profit Factor0.09
Drawdown Resilience0.07
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07
Weekly Sharpe est.0.05
Trading Activity30 trades · 13 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$761d profit12d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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