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0x2dfdff...606a46
#15713 overall · top 74.60%
Smart Score
3
Win Rate
40.0%
Total P&L
-$2.9K
Trade Count
738
Sharpe Ratio
-0.86
Sortino Ratio
-1.51
Max Drawdown
746.8%
ROI
-3.0%
Profit Factor
0.70
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
03.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL50.0¢13.45Feb 2
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL50.0¢2.02Feb 1
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL50.0¢90.2Feb 1
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL50.0¢100Feb 1
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL50.0¢9.07Feb 1
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?BUY38.0¢1,493.74Feb 1
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?BUY38.0¢25.61Feb 1
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?BUY38.0¢80.645Feb 1
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?BUY39.0¢1,389.86Feb 1
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?BUY38.0¢139.86Feb 1
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL50.0¢9.25Feb 1
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL50.0¢10.36Jan 31
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL50.0¢40Jan 31
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL50.0¢10.2Jan 31
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?SELL50.0¢83.99Jan 31
US recession by end of 2026?BUY20.0¢407.02Jan 17
US recession by end of 2026?BUY20.0¢125.76Jan 17
US recession by end of 2026?BUY20.0¢312.5Jan 17
US recession by end of 2026?BUY20.0¢17Jan 17
US recession by end of 2026?BUY20.0¢8Jan 16

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%38%< 10%7%10–20%6%20–30%23%30–50%14%50–70%4%70–80%7%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing3.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.19
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.1%
Win Consistency38.0%
Profit Factor0.09
Drawdown Resilience0.07
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07
Weekly Sharpe est.0.05
Trading Activity661 trades · 55 active days
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$20,24622d profit33d loss
JunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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Preview data · updated daily · full equity curve & more at accrue.com/platform