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japanneid

0x9326f4...772756
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
34.3%
Total P&L
+$4
Trade Count
347
Sharpe Ratio
0.72
Sortino Ratio
6.51
Max Drawdown
5966.7%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
2.44
Kelly Fraction
0.203
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6AM ETBUY99.8¢5.01Mar 5
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢8.08Mar 5
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY99.0¢8.081Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.5¢5.06Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.7¢5.066Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢7.071Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢7.39Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.7¢7.392Mar 4
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢7.07Mar 4
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.0¢5.051Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL68.0¢11.76Mar 4
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢7.056Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL52.0¢11.53Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY68.0¢11.765Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.7¢7.6Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.9¢7.605Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.2¢12.15Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.3¢12.151Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY52.0¢11.538Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY85.0¢7.059Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%7%50–70%6%70–80%5%80–90%79%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.49
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.7%
Win Consistency53.9%
Profit Factor0.70
Drawdown Resilience0.57
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity347 trades · 33 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1796d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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