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IwillWin

IwillWin

0x822e62...c65feb@nineonchain
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
67.6%
Total P&L
+$10.6K
Trade Count
996
Sharpe Ratio
0.59
Sortino Ratio
11.27
Max Drawdown
346.7%
ROI
7.2%
Profit Factor
2.00
Kelly Fraction
0.337
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY89.0¢150Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?SELL30.0¢669.99Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL52.0¢600Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY49.0¢519.89Mar 4
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY30.0¢534.51Mar 4
GRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY95.0¢300Mar 3
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?SELL17.0¢29.76Mar 3
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?SELL17.0¢100Mar 3
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?SELL17.0¢11.76Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY57.0¢390Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY57.0¢100Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY57.0¢10Mar 3
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.2¢2,000Mar 3
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? BUY69.1¢97.32Mar 2
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? BUY69.1¢2.676Mar 2
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? BUY69.3¢100Mar 2
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY94.8¢1.42Mar 2
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY94.8¢1.47Mar 2
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY94.8¢1.23Mar 2
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY94.9¢183.32Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%20%< 10%3%10–20%3%20–30%5%30–50%13%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%50%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.11
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.8%
Win Consistency48.5%
Profit Factor1.00
Drawdown Resilience0.80
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80
Weekly Sharpe est.0.61
Trading Activity996 trades · 33 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$56,4917d profit26d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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