idell-et

0x5425db...ede8b4

Smart Score

Win Rate

92.9%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.46

Sortino Ratio

-0.24

Max Drawdown

179.1%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

15.15

Kelly Fraction

0.867

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be less than 2,000,000?	BUY	99.7¢	5.005	Mar 5
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Huracán: O/U 2.5	BUY	99.8¢	5	Feb 26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	85.0¢	0.18	Jan 1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	85.0¢	4.82	Jan 1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	5	Nov 17
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	79.0¢	5	Nov 11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	78.0¢	5	Nov 10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	SELL	78.0¢	5	Nov 8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	72.0¢	5	Oct 23
Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?	SELL	93.6¢	5	Oct 23
Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025?	BUY	93.1¢	5	Sep 15
Megaquake by September 30?	SELL	95.0¢	5	Sep 14
Megaquake by September 30?	BUY	94.0¢	5	Sep 12
Megaquake by September 30?	SELL	94.0¢	5	Sep 11
Megaquake by September 30?	BUY	93.0¢	5	Sep 11
Megaquake by September 30?	SELL	94.0¢	5	Sep 5
Megaquake by September 30?	BUY	93.0¢	5	Sep 3
Megaquake by September 30?	SELL	92.0¢	5	Sep 2
Megaquake by September 30?	BUY	91.0¢	5	Sep 2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?	SELL	95.0¢	5	Sep 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.94

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.0%

Win Consistency78.6%

Profit Factor0.92

Drawdown Resilience0.74

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity21 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$98d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

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