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HatDrop

HatDrop

0xb77a76...1d2af7
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
47.4%
Total P&L
+$1.3K
Trade Count
604
Sharpe Ratio
1.34
Sortino Ratio
20.02
Max Drawdown
663.8%
ROI
3.7%
Profit Factor
1.25
Kelly Fraction
0.096
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
028.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY37.7¢265.076Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETBUY49.7¢603.483Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY0.7¢670.355Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSELL1.0¢230.51Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY4.3¢230.61Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSELL5.0¢124.83Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY8.0¢125Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSELL88.9¢698.78Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETBUY84.9¢701.671Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY36.2¢125.452Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETSELL97.0¢46.86Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY71.9¢47.342Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETSELL50.0¢69.2Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETBUY47.4¢70.294Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETSELL66.0¢51.12Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETBUY49.0¢51.939Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSELL92.0¢27.69Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY81.0¢27.864Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETSELL18.0¢125.99Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETBUY47.0¢127.982Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%5%10–20%7%20–30%28%30–50%35%50–70%7%70–80%8%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.56
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.8%
Win Consistency43.5%
Profit Factor0.74
Drawdown Resilience0.60
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity604 trades · 9 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$6,2020d profit9d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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