Guffyas

0xa326e8...641b16
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
65.5%
Total P&L
-$83
Trade Count
344
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Sortino Ratio
-0.09
Max Drawdown
431.2%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
0.34
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY98.5¢8.122Mar 5
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.0¢6,120Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 90°F or higher on March 5?BUY99.8¢178.357Mar 5
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢6,307Mar 4
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY97.5¢10.256Mar 3
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢2,200Mar 3
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢6,307Mar 3
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?BUY98.0¢4.082Mar 3
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢6,515.89Mar 3
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.2¢1,484.11Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 3?BUY99.8¢240Mar 3
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢8,000Mar 3
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢2.09Mar 2
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢0.05Mar 2
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢0.08Mar 2
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢0.23Mar 2
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢0.04Mar 2
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢0.05Mar 2
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢0.02Mar 2
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢1.06Mar 2
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%8%10–20%5%20–30%8%30–50%4%50–70%8%70–80%10%80–90%56%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency47.5%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity299 trades · 26 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$14,4116d profit19d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics