Gambler771

Gambler771

0xac287f...01db35
Smart Score
15
Win Rate
50.3%
Total P&L
-$17
Trade Count
1,044
Sharpe Ratio
0.34
Sortino Ratio
3.64
Max Drawdown
323.8%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
1.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
015.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSELL99.1¢91.99Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETBUY43.0¢3.235Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETBUY43.0¢8.76Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETBUY50.0¢80Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL40.3¢31.31Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL42.3¢57.681Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY10.0¢100Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY24.4¢89Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY8.0¢57Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY4.2¢10Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY4.2¢20Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY17.0¢35.294Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY21.8¢41.284Feb 28
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY46.0¢10.87Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY40.0¢15Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?SELL43.0¢15Feb 24
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?SELL51.0¢31Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY41.0¢8Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY43.0¢9Feb 23
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETBUY52.0¢2.56Feb 23
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%7%20–30%40%30–50%48%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.84
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.8%
Win Consistency46.5%
Profit Factor0.40
Drawdown Resilience0.32
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32
Weekly Sharpe est.0.24
Trading Activity1,044 trades · 38 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$20,6676d profit32d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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