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gabejo

0x831ec5...8e8db9
Smart Score
52
Win Rate
38.8%
Total P&L
+$27.8K
Trade Count
203
Sharpe Ratio
0.12
Sortino Ratio
2.34
Max Drawdown
54.0%
ROI
49.4%
Profit Factor
3.21
Kelly Fraction
0.267
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
051.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?BUY19.8¢3,882.868Jun 16
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY24.0¢3,000Dec 16
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY28.0¢2.25Dec 16
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY28.0¢2.25Dec 16
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY28.0¢4.639Dec 16
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY28.0¢384.9Dec 16
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY28.0¢241.72Dec 16
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY28.0¢982.23Dec 16
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY30.0¢2,568Dec 15
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY42.4¢2,358.414Dec 15
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY41.1¢2,434.594Dec 15
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY39.9¢2,508.927Dec 15
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY47.4¢4,219.775Dec 15
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY56.3¢8,877.957Dec 14
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?BUY56.6¢1,768.18Dec 14
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?SELL25.0¢83.46Nov 6
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?SELL25.0¢40Nov 6
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?SELL25.0¢3Nov 6
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?BUY20.0¢466.09Nov 6
U.S. military action against Yemen in 2024?SELL25.0¢30.4Nov 6

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%21%< 10%20%10–20%27%20–30%19%30–50%6%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing51.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.85
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)47.1%
Win Consistency43.3%
Profit Factor1.35
Drawdown Resilience1.09
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.09
Weekly Sharpe est.0.83

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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