G453YTDF

0x865a1a...0a8cdf

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.6%

Total P&L

+$15

Trade Count

513

Sharpe Ratio

-0.10

Sortino Ratio

-0.31

Max Drawdown

1626.2%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

1.82

Kelly Fraction

0.273

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.1¢	9.365	Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.9¢	10.16	Mar 5
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	78.9¢	10.139	Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.0¢	5.102	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	5.27	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.7¢	5.28	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	13.13	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	13.131	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	97.0¢	9.29	Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	97.0¢	9.278	Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	58.2¢	13.53	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	6.18	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	SELL	51.0¢	19.25	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	62.0¢	16.13	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	16.129	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ET	BUY	99.5¢	8.04	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.4¢	9.53	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	5.051	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.6¢	9.514	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	6.15	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.84

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.8%

Win Consistency47.1%

Profit Factor0.40

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity513 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$5088d profit31d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue