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ella-bets

0x9ac18b...5d9737
Smart Score
5
Win Rate
10.5%
Total P&L
-$88
Trade Count
33
Sharpe Ratio
1.26
Sortino Ratio
493.44
Max Drawdown
376.4%
ROI
-41.6%
Profit Factor
0.03
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
04.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETBUY37.0¢15.135Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETSELL99.1¢5.65Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY52.8¢5.743Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ETBUY48.0¢10Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY1.0¢100Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY43.0¢69.753Mar 5
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?SELL1.9¢20Feb 27
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.1¢1,000Feb 27
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?BUY5.0¢20Feb 27
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?BUY0.4¢553.4Feb 11
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 56%?BUY0.4¢5,238.246Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETSELL63.0¢19.68Feb 11
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ETBUY49.0¢20Feb 11
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?SELL96.9¢10.35Feb 11
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL46.0¢21.12Feb 11
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 46% and 48%?BUY0.6¢520.446Feb 11
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 52% and 54%?BUY0.4¢1,260.55Feb 11
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 54% and 56%?BUY0.4¢1,250.888Feb 11
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be at least 56%?BUY0.3¢1,669.27Feb 11
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?SELL83.7¢11.12Feb 11

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%59%< 10%10–20%20–30%23%30–50%5%50–70%70–80%9%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing4.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.26
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.3%
Win Consistency45.0%
Profit Factor0.12
Drawdown Resilience0.10
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.10
Weekly Sharpe est.0.08
Trading Activity33 trades · 4 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$890d profit4d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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