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0x90b715...36400a

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.9%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.87

Sortino Ratio

-0.82

Max Drawdown

554.4%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

2.06

Kelly Fraction

0.200

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	98.1¢	89.704	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.9¢	88.42	Mar 2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	95.0¢	88.421	Feb 12
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.6¢	85.52	Feb 8
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.8¢	85.526	Feb 6
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.6¢	85.69	Feb 3
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.6¢	85.7	Feb 2
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.5¢	84.98	Jan 28
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.9¢	84.985	Jan 21
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	2.0¢	100	Jan 18
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	2.1¢	100	Jan 16
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	1.6¢	100	Jan 12
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	1.6¢	100	Jan 12
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	1.9¢	100	Jan 8
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	2.1¢	100	Jan 7
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	SELL	4.2¢	100	Jan 5
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BUY	4.4¢	100	Jan 4
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	2.0¢	100	Dec 30
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	2.1¢	100	Dec 30
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	SELL	98.2¢	85.02	Dec 29

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.2%

Win Consistency29.2%

Profit Factor0.15

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity49 trades · 49 active days

P&L Calendar

$8624d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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