canilng

0xdad759...904d85

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.3%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

343

Sharpe Ratio

0.54

Sortino Ratio

2.63

Max Drawdown

1846.8%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.67

Kelly Fraction

0.121

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.8¢	5.16	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.9¢	5.16	Mar 4
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.1¢	8.08	Mar 4
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.5¢	8.03	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.3¢	6.42	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.4¢	6.424	Mar 4
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.0¢	8.081	Mar 4
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.0¢	6.06	Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.3¢	7.11	Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.4¢	7.114	Mar 4
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.6¢	10.02	Mar 4
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.6¢	8.032	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.7¢	7.021	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.0¢	8.16	Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.0¢	8.163	Mar 4
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.1¢	6.054	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	6.55	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	6.55	Mar 4
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	10.02	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ET	BUY	99.6¢	7.028	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.81

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.4%

Win Consistency44.2%

Profit Factor0.38

Drawdown Resilience0.31

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.31

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity343 trades · 31 active days

P&L Calendar

$1669d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue