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btrb2

0x4e36b4...156253
#5078 overall · top 24.11%
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
53.5%
Total P&L
+$675
Trade Count
438
Sharpe Ratio
0.54
Sortino Ratio
3.46
Max Drawdown
1836.3%
ROI
4.5%
Profit Factor
3.73
Kelly Fraction
0.392
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
034.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.3¢80Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY3.8¢80Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY96.8¢50Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY3.3¢50Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢50Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.5¢50Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢120Mar 5
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.1¢120Mar 5
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY98.4¢90Mar 5
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY1.7¢90Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY1.9¢110Mar 5
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY98.2¢110Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.8¢10Mar 5
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY83.0¢10Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.5¢120Mar 4
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.6¢120Mar 4
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢110Mar 4
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY1.1¢110Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY4.1¢110Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY96.0¢110Mar 4

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%44%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%45%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing34.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.92
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.8%
Win Consistency44.0%
Profit Factor0.91
Drawdown Resilience0.73
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56
Trading Activity438 trades · 19 active days
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$13,1010d profit19d loss
JulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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Preview data · updated daily · full equity curve & more at accrue.com/platform