Beikal

0x8c0d7c...c93ec5

Smart Score

Win Rate

41.6%

Total P&L

+$478

Trade Count

186

Sharpe Ratio

0.22

Sortino Ratio

1.11

Max Drawdown

592.6%

ROI

8.4%

Profit Factor

1.46

Kelly Fraction

0.131

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

014.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	96.3¢	75.44	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	95.2¢	76	Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	96.1¢	20	Feb 24
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	89.0¢	76	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	52.7	Feb 14
Will Czechia win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	SELL	99.9¢	20	Feb 13
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	52.7	Feb 12
Will Czechia win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?	BUY	99.1¢	20	Feb 12
Espresso FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	96.3¢	15	Feb 12
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	8	Feb 2
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	65.2	Feb 1
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	99.0¢	65.2	Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	8	Jan 30
Seahawks vs. Patriots	BUY	69.0¢	13	Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	81	Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	81	Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	0.6¢	2,179.4	Jan 29
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	91.89	Jan 28
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	1.11	Jan 28
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	93	Jan 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing14.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.81

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.4%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor0.38

Drawdown Resilience0.31

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.31

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity160 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

$85710d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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