AlexGXP

0x71f0a8...068d57

Smart Score

Win Rate

37.5%

Total P&L

+$107

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

4.54

Sortino Ratio

179.56

Max Drawdown

282.4%

ROI

24.2%

Profit Factor

3.24

Kelly Fraction

0.259

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	BUY	23.0¢	65.217	Mar 5
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	SELL	2.2¢	45.15	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	0.8¢	41.03	Mar 5
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	1.6¢	742.42	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	BUY	5.0¢	100	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	SELL	48.0¢	201.38	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BUY	6.0¢	83.333	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BUY	8.0¢	62.5	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BUY	9.0¢	55.8	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	BUY	20.1¢	49.663	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	BUY	14.0¢	35.714	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	BUY	54.0¢	27.778	Mar 4
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	BUY	11.1¢	45.157	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	9.4¢	57.97	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	6.5¢	74.11	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?	SELL	0.3¢	2,500	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	17.2¢	57.977	Mar 4
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	1.9¢	263.636	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	29.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	6.7¢	74.118	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.2%

Win Consistency58.3%

Profit Factor1.21

Drawdown Resilience0.97

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.97

Weekly Sharpe est.0.74

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