65436

0xf31e03...a47b40

Smart Score

Win Rate

64.2%

Total P&L

-$2

Trade Count

324

Sharpe Ratio

-0.24

Sortino Ratio

-0.75

Max Drawdown

14708.9%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.88

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	6.19	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.8¢	6.198	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	98.6¢	7.099	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	10.22	Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.8¢	10.225	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.8¢	6.45	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.9¢	6.456	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET	SELL	99.8¢	8.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	8.016	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	15.68	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	10.204	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	15.686	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	5.29	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.5¢	5.291	Mar 4
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	95.7¢	5.21	Mar 3
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	95.9¢	5.214	Mar 3
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.4¢	8.73	Mar 3
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	8.734	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.5%

Win Consistency34.9%

Profit Factor0.13

Drawdown Resilience0.10

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.10

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity324 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$4227d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue