1881aa

0x8a9777...78593d

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.8%

Total P&L

+$18.6K

Trade Count

3,929

Sharpe Ratio

-0.31

Sortino Ratio

-0.80

Max Drawdown

2459.0%

ROI

1.8%

Profit Factor

3.17

Kelly Fraction

0.471

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	93.2¢	600	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	SELL	66.0¢	122	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	SELL	67.0¢	39.99	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	SELL	72.0¢	242.58	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	SELL	75.0¢	194.06	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	SELL	75.0¢	388.12	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	72.0¢	200	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	75.0¢	44	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	75.0¢	56	Mar 5
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	SELL	72.0¢	113.93	Mar 4
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	SELL	72.2¢	113.92	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	SELL	99.6¢	282.04	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	SELL	99.6¢	200.73	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	SELL	99.6¢	200.73	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	SELL	99.6¢	50	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	SELL	99.6¢	15	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	SELL	99.6¢	358.459	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	BUY	97.1¢	1,000	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 4?	BUY	98.5¢	106.96	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	1,734.76	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.2%

Win Consistency43.3%

Profit Factor0.61

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity3,929 trades · 75 active days

P&L Calendar

$26,01138d profit37d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue