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0xeF86C1ed9C738155d117a7414FDfEd2Fb2Bf8fBE-1770872041264

0xef86c1...bf8fbe
Smart Score
9
Win Rate
55.4%
Total P&L
-$36
Trade Count
200
Sharpe Ratio
0.44
Sortino Ratio
0.72
Max Drawdown
510.5%
ROI
-0.2%
Profit Factor
0.60
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
09.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY95.7¢10.449Mar 5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY82.0¢12.195Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ETBUY99.8¢7.014Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.0¢6.36Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.5¢6.14Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢9.27Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢10.22Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.6¢5.071Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL67.0¢3.4Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL67.0¢11.515Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY67.0¢14.925Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢10.22Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.8¢10.225Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY97.0¢9.278Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11AM ETBUY92.6¢8.639Mar 3
GTA VI released before June 2026?SELL97.7¢5.11Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.8¢9.37Mar 3
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL80.0¢9.3Mar 3
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL79.1¢8.78Mar 3
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY79.7¢8.783Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%23%30–50%14%50–70%4%70–80%16%80–90%43%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing9.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.50
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.3%
Win Consistency48.5%
Profit Factor0.24
Drawdown Resilience0.19
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19
Weekly Sharpe est.0.15
Trading Activity200 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7963d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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