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0xecDB6B235932B588EFa38B97F2B00BC82E7207d0-1770957613751

0xecdb6b...7207d0
Smart Score
5
Win Rate
68.7%
Total P&L
-$9
Trade Count
192
Sharpe Ratio
-0.42
Sortino Ratio
-0.49
Max Drawdown
2660.8%
ROI
-0.7%
Profit Factor
0.56
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
04.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.4¢6.224Mar 5
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.3¢13.722Mar 5
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢7.14Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY62.0¢8.065Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL84.0¢9.52Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY84.0¢9.524Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.1¢8.56Mar 4
Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)BUY96.6¢8.282Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.4¢8.565Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL97.0¢5.16Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL52.0¢11.53Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY96.8¢5.165Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢8.247Mar 4
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)BUY95.0¢6.316Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL82.2¢6.07Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.4¢5.34Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY82.3¢6.075Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.6¢5.342Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY52.0¢11.538Mar 3
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢8.03Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%4%70–80%5%80–90%76%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing4.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.25
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.2%
Win Consistency44.0%
Profit Factor0.12
Drawdown Resilience0.10
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.10
Weekly Sharpe est.0.07
Trading Activity192 trades · 21 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3380d profit21d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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