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0xC6f049c9788364442a25b95868026DD7674d534c-1769914764364

0xc6f049...4d534c
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
66.1%
Total P&L
-$10
Trade Count
315
Sharpe Ratio
0.23
Sortino Ratio
2.21
Max Drawdown
3874.0%
ROI
-0.5%
Profit Factor
0.75
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
013.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY98.0¢6.122Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢13.47Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢6.46Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.8¢6.466Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ETBUY98.6¢10.142Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢6.19Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢6.198Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY52.0¢13.462Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢11.49Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢2.225Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢13.725Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ETSELL99.8¢7.01Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ETBUY99.8¢7.014Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.3¢9.32Mar 4
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.5¢9.326Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 12AM ETBUY97.8¢9.202Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢7.23Mar 3
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢7.231Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL52.0¢17.3Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY52.0¢17.308Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%15%50–70%12%70–80%8%80–90%62%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.76
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.7%
Win Consistency43.8%
Profit Factor0.36
Drawdown Resilience0.29
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29
Weekly Sharpe est.0.22
Trading Activity315 trades · 33 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4737d profit25d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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