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0xb8cb25Ed93103fa7D850e8fe93d527Ff81dCf4C6-1768531656937

0xb8cb25...dcf4c6
Smart Score
16
Win Rate
15.8%
Total P&L
-$5.6K
Trade Count
74
Sharpe Ratio
0.36
Sortino Ratio
9.51
Max Drawdown
883.2%
ROI
-11.6%
Profit Factor
0.68
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
016.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?BUY3.5¢142.857Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL39.3¢8,130.35Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 24?BUY21.9¢346.696Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 24?BUY5.0¢4,000.297Feb 23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY2.6¢5,832.876Feb 23
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on February 23?SELL99.9¢4,430.2Feb 23
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY2.6¢2,297.481Feb 23
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?SELL2.1¢2,845.12Feb 23
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on February 23?BUY88.4¢4,430.202Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?SELL99.9¢3,921.56Feb 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 23?BUY51.0¢3,921.569Feb 23
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?BUY2.5¢2,703.538Feb 22
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?SELL1.3¢5,255.41Feb 22
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?BUY2.4¢141.586Feb 22
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?SELL1.3¢262Feb 22
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?BUY4.0¢2,704.675Feb 20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL4.5¢2,383.39Feb 20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY3.7¢2,383.384Feb 20
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?BUY3.6¢2,812.738Feb 20
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20?BUY51.6¢5,815.983Feb 20

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%59%< 10%12%10–20%7%20–30%12%30–50%9%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing16.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.89
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.6%
Win Consistency15.8%
Profit Factor0.42
Drawdown Resilience0.34
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.34
Weekly Sharpe est.0.26
Trading Activity74 trades · 16 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$15,6002d profit13d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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