0x8Da4d0b535b1EB694f79DE7deD3AaF48B3d068B8-1760488556898

0x8da4d0...d068b8
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
85.1%
Total P&L
-$8.4K
Trade Count
941
Sharpe Ratio
0.35
Sortino Ratio
0.30
Max Drawdown
100.9%
ROI
-3.5%
Profit Factor
0.64
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
013.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?SELL99.8¢517.73Feb 28
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?SELL99.8¢235.87Feb 28
Will Trump talk to Ali Khamenei in February?BUY99.6¢695.86Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY98.5¢20.56Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY98.0¢80Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY97.9¢11.29Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY97.3¢202.18Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY97.3¢1,299.38Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY97.2¢446Feb 28
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?SELL99.4¢756Feb 28
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?SELL99.4¢91.08Feb 28
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?SELL99.5¢240.9Feb 28
Will Iranian officials visit the White House by February 28?SELL99.8¢135.057Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY92.1¢40.12Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY92.1¢50.633Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY92.1¢178.861Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY92.1¢42.724Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY92.1¢50.74Feb 28
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?SELL99.8¢482.27Feb 28
Will Trump declare war on Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY93.9¢744.58Feb 28
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%13%50–70%11%70–80%6%80–90%69%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing13.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.75
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.4%
Win Consistency58.3%
Profit Factor0.35
Drawdown Resilience0.29
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.29
Weekly Sharpe est.0.22
Trading Activity941 trades · 40 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$96,0159d profit31d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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