0x8cf1CD9f1737A0881F12FB254d37Fd3A89Bb8b0C-1771642126940

0x8cf1cd...bb8b0c

Smart Score

Win Rate

46.7%

Total P&L

+$11

Trade Count

116

Sharpe Ratio

-0.45

Sortino Ratio

-0.68

Max Drawdown

762.4%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

2.02

Kelly Fraction

0.236

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.8¢	8.454	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Mar 5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	97.0¢	7.216	Mar 5
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	81.0¢	9.68	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	50.0¢	17.65	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.5¢	10.33	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.8¢	10.331	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	91.6¢	6.54	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	91.7¢	6.543	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	7.16	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	7.15	Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	78.5¢	8.89	Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	78.7¢	8.895	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	6.012	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.2¢	12.15	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.3¢	12.151	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	3.39	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	5.977	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.0¢	9.375	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	5.102	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.1%

Win Consistency41.3%

Profit Factor0.26

Drawdown Resilience0.21

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.21

Weekly Sharpe est.0.16

Trading Activity116 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1653d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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