0x530C555b8156a42A949434921BC309cCB9553453-1763209670408

0x530c55...553453@BirungiC

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.6%

Total P&L

+$3.9K

Trade Count

140

Sharpe Ratio

-5.76

Sortino Ratio

-8.51

Max Drawdown

40871.0%

ROI

23.3%

Profit Factor

14.31

Kelly Fraction

0.824

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	125.125	Mar 5
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	50.15	Feb 26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.8¢	100.2	Feb 26
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	69.0¢	141.25	Feb 26
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	72.0¢	10.297	Feb 26
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	69.4¢	144.083	Feb 26
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	69.0¢	45.91	Feb 26
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	68.0¢	73.529	Feb 26
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	10.294	Feb 26
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	49.81	Feb 26
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	67.0¢	59.701	Feb 26
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	41.324	Feb 26
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	10.926	Feb 26
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	68.0¢	50	Feb 26
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	65.8¢	152.078	Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	50.505	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	BUY	97.0¢	51.546	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	2,002.002	Feb 25
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	BUY	66.4¢	12.18	Feb 24
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	BUY	87.9¢	56.875	Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.1%

Win Consistency20.2%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity140 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$16,0791d profit20d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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