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0x5196Dd18Cc3451E50268B2e5a43911F055375479-1769914759866

0x5196dd...375479
Smart Score
15
Win Rate
65.5%
Total P&L
+$19
Trade Count
324
Sharpe Ratio
-1.85
Sortino Ratio
-1.74
Max Drawdown
3596.2%
ROI
0.9%
Profit Factor
2.53
Kelly Fraction
0.396
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢6.14Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢6.129Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETSELL99.8¢6.03Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETBUY99.5¢6.03Mar 5
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.3¢8.55Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.5¢8.556Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢7.15Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢7.15Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢6.46Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.8¢6.466Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.7¢5.015Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL91.5¢10.91Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.6¢10.917Mar 4
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL98.0¢7.14Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)BUY94.0¢5.319Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL91.5¢8.73Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY91.6¢8.734Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL67.0¢11.94Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY67.0¢11.94Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ETBUY98.9¢5.056Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%12%50–70%7%70–80%9%80–90%70%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.82
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.7%
Win Consistency43.9%
Profit Factor0.39
Drawdown Resilience0.32
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32
Weekly Sharpe est.0.24
Trading Activity324 trades · 32 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4427d profit24d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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