0x4159E593a52032A815ECAE1e33Dd7346539A9D74-1771644036528

0x4159e5...9a9d74

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.8%

Total P&L

-$19

Trade Count

102

Sharpe Ratio

1.01

Sortino Ratio

2.40

Max Drawdown

79.4%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

-0.77

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	8.197	Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	94.7¢	9.504	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	97.0¢	10.25	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	97.5¢	10.256	Mar 5
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	80.9¢	7.59	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	94.5¢	7.42	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.7¢	11.4	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	78.9¢	11.407	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	75.0¢	8.16	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	8.163	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	0.74	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	7.292	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.0¢	0.29	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.0¢	8.333	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.9¢	7.21	Mar 3
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	97.0¢	7.216	Mar 2
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	66.0¢	7.576	Mar 2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	94.0¢	9.59	Mar 2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	93.8¢	9.595	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.9%

Win Consistency52.4%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity102 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1083d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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