0x405b6d...c47a9e

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.7%

Total P&L

+$378

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

-0.75

Sortino Ratio

-1.98

Max Drawdown

14356.8%

ROI

6.9%

Profit Factor

1.20

Kelly Fraction

0.096

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	9.632	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	5.789	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	28.0¢	9.143	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.01	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.01	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.2	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.11	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.3	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.2	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.18	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.5	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.15	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.02	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	0.03	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	14.0¢	2.01	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	13.0¢	0.02	Mar 5
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	13.0¢	0.14	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	68.1¢	9.915	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	76.0¢	6.342	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	88.0¢	114.932	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.22

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.6%

Win Consistency25.7%

Profit Factor0.10

Drawdown Resilience0.08

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08

Weekly Sharpe est.0.06

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,0660d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue