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0x37D3CBf8dEC951D39656dE4D30a2DB48CA51e3e2-1769677560255

0x37d3cb...51e3e2
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
43.7%
Total P&L
+$4
Trade Count
206
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Sortino Ratio
0.06
Max Drawdown
1280.0%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
3.55
Kelly Fraction
0.314
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
019/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.6¢5.07Mar 5
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.7¢5.066Mar 5
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.3¢10.07Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?SELL99.0¢7.45Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?SELL99.0¢2.65Mar 5
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.6¢7.02Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?SELL99.2¢6.03Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ETBUY98.0¢7.143Mar 4
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.7¢7.021Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?BUY99.0¢10.101Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?BUY99.4¢6.036Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.7¢11.42Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY78.8¢11.421Mar 4
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.3¢6.09Mar 4
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.2¢6.04Mar 4
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.4¢6.098Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.8¢7.07Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢7.078Mar 4
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.7¢5.01Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL84.0¢1.12Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%5%50–70%5%70–80%4%80–90%85%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.04
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.3%
Win Consistency45.5%
Profit Factor0.49
Drawdown Resilience0.40
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.40
Weekly Sharpe est.0.30
Trading Activity206 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1456d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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