Accrue
Log inGet Access

-----------

0xe0d84b...d39f61
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
31.5%
Total P&L
+$231
Trade Count
433
Sharpe Ratio
0.13
Sortino Ratio
1.19
Max Drawdown
100.3%
ROI
6.1%
Profit Factor
3.57
Kelly Fraction
0.227
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?SELL35.0¢2.46Feb 27
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY43.0¢2.465Feb 26
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL66.0¢1.6Feb 26
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY70.0¢1.6Feb 26
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETBUY27.0¢3.704Feb 26
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL69.0¢1.44Feb 26
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL68.0¢1.67Feb 26
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY71.0¢1.676Feb 25
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY69.0¢1.449Feb 25
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?SELL1.8¢79.29Jul 7
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?BUY2.8¢79.286Jul 6
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?SELL1.8¢123.44Jul 3
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?BUY2.3¢123.44Jul 3
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?SELL1.3¢217.89Jul 2
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?BUY1.9¢67.895Jul 2
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?BUY1.1¢150Jul 1
Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during CNN interview?SELL0.2¢2,010.62Aug 31
Will Tim Walz say "Teacher" during CNN interview?BUY0.5¢2,010.62Aug 31
Will J.D. Vance say "tampon" during Pennsylvania rally?BUY15.0¢0.333Aug 27
Will J.D. Vance say "okay good" during Pennsylvania rally?BUY18.0¢0.278Aug 27

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%47%< 10%14%10–20%5%20–30%10%30–50%16%50–70%4%70–80%3%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.49
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.6%
Win Consistency42.0%
Profit Factor0.70
Drawdown Resilience0.57
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity16 trades · 7 active days
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$34d profit3d loss
AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics