economicsfed

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).

Markets
15
Total Volume
$6.0M
24h Volume
$6K
Liquidity
$316K
Comments
5

Markets (15)

active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?

$2.4M vol · $12K liq
4.2%
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

$1.3M vol · $21K liq
6.5%
-0.3¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?

$494K vol · $20K liq
28.0%
-11.3¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?

$433K vol · $26K liq
3.8%
+0.1¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

$405K vol · $23K liq
1.9%
-0.1¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≤1.0% at the end of 2026?

$193K vol · $11K liq
1.6%
+0.1¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026?

$126K vol · $19K liq
2.5%
+0.7¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.0% at the end of 2026?

$118K vol · $19K liq
0.8%
+0.1¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?

$109K vol · $21K liq
0.5%
+0.1¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?

$106K vol · $22K liq
0.9%
+0.2¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?

$99K vol · $17K liq
0.7%
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?

$63K vol · $17K liq
2.5%
+1.4¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?

$58K vol · $18K liq
26.0%
-0.5¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.25% at the end of 2026?

$40K vol · $31K liq
11.0%
-1.0¢
active

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026?

$24K vol · $37K liq
5.5%
Open in Terminal →