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Google Gemini score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markets
4
Total Volume
$105K
24h Volume
$8K
Liquidity
$6K
Markets (4)
active
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
$37K vol · $268 liq
63.0%
+6.5¢
active
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
$27K vol · $1K liq
94.5%
+0.4¢
active
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
$25K vol · $2K liq
13.5%
+1.0¢
active
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
$16K vol · $3K liq
32.5%
+3.5¢